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Scottish Independence and Scotland's Future
Scottish Innovation Party (SIP) Finance


First I'd like to provide three documents for you to read which come from the Chokka Blog which I consider to be the very best information on Scotland's finances...

Full Fiscal Autonomy for Dummies
GERS - Good News for Scotland
Memetic Hogwash

And the latest report from GERS
Government Expenditure & Revenue Scotland 2015-16

Scottish Currency Options post-Brexit
Common Weal report as at July 2016 By Dr. Craig Dalzell
It is widely acknowledged that one of the weaker aspects of the 2012-14 Scottish independence campaign was the debate around currency. The strategy of adopting a Sterling union with the rest of the UK, even after such a union had been publicly dismissed by the pro-Union advocates, was deeply damaging in terms of both confidence in the pro-independence campaign itself and in uncertainty about the future of an independent Scotland.

In the wake of the 2016 EU referendum result, a second independence campaign has been deemed “highly likely” to take place within the next few years. It is vital then that the questions which the 2014 campaign could not answer are addressed now, before the second campaign is launched. This report seeks to take this opportunity to further the currency debate by explaining the concepts required to fully understand the details of the debate as well as laying out the options that an independent Scotland could reasonably face.

Digital Currency for Scotland, Backed by Scottish Parliament and Banks
Sep 09, 2016 by Giulio Prisco

Economists at Strathclyde University in Glasgow, Scotland, have warned that Scotland’s financial sector needs to accelerate its adoption of technology to avoid a future banking crisis. According to the economists, adopting leading-edge fintech could create 15,000 jobs in Scotland over 10 years and failing to do so would have the opposite effect.

“Fintech is evolving at a rapid pace and the consequences of digitalisation are being hailed as a ‘game changer’ for both the banking and securities industries,” said Daniel Broby, director of the Strathclyde University’s Centre for Financial Regulation and Innovation.

“Financial transactions are set to become instantaneous, traditional paper money is being replaced by digital money and entrepreneurs will be able to raise money directly from the public,” added Broby. “All this is good news for the consumer. But it is critical that we create the right conditions to enable companies to develop fintech faster, if Scotland’s financial sector is to remain globally competitive. The technology exists. Either Scottish financial institutions adopt it and thrive, or they ignore it at their peril.”

The warning came at a symposium on the future of fintech held last Friday, September 2, at the University of Strathclyde’s Technology and Innovation Centre.

The Strathclyde economists are persuaded that fintech is being driven by blockchain technology and distributed ledgers, two major innovations poised to transform the way the financial sector handles not only payments but also identity, transactions and debt information.

Broby argued that the adoption of advanced fintech should be accelerated. “There’s potentially a huge opportunity for Scotland but we need to seize it,” he said.

Broby and co-author Tatja Karkkainen presented a conference whitepaper titled “Fintech in Scotland: Building a digital future for the financial sector.”

The potential for a Scottish digital currency — a local currency backed by the Scottish parliament and banks — is examined in Broby’s whitepaper and it has been discussed at the symposium.

It’s worth noting that the possibility of a Scottish national digital currency was also discussed in connection with the Scottish independence referendum in September 2014. The referendum failed, but the possibility of a new referendum surfaced again after the U.K. voters chose Brexit, the exit of the U.K. from the European Union, on June 23. In fact, Scottish voters chose to stay in the E.U. and Scottish politicians declared that they would put the referendum back on the table. However, Broby’s proposal could be implemented even if Scotland were to remain a part of the U.K.

“We present the case for a Scottish backed crypto currency,” says Broby in the whitepaper. “Most crypto currencies have been developed by the private sector. Scotland could either host such an initiative or develop its own. This could be done by providing the backbone in the form of an encrypted distributed ledger. As a sponsored initiative, a copy of the transactions could also be mirrored in a central registry. This could be maintained by the Scottish government. The advantage of this is that there remains an element of oversight, be it for tax or money laundering. This would prove easier to regulate than a mined and anonymous blockchain.

“The rationale for a Scottish digital currency is supported by its unique political positioning,” continues Broby. “Legally, there is no need to have the legal capacity to issue banknotes to set up a cryptographically enabled transaction system. As long as a bank or group of banks is willing to guarantee the exchange of the currency to sterling (or a menu of exchangeable currencies) then the system could be just run from a [distributed] ledger.In most countries it is only central banks who are permitted to issue currency. In Scotland, Bank of Scotland, Clydesdale Bank and The Royal Bank of Scotland currently issue banknotes. Scottish Banknotes are legal currency in as much as they are approved by the UK Parliament. Scottish banknotes are not technically legal tender even in Scotland but the widespread use has established a precedent which can be built on. The Scottish payment system currently exists without a legal framework.”

“This legal ambiguity can be used to issue Scottish digital currency, backed by deposits from these currencies with the Bank of England,” concludes Broby. “The Scottish Parliament would have to support the initiative and presumably pass legislation on [digital currencies] to ensure its success.”

by Giulio Prisco
Giulio Prisco is a writer specialized in science, technology and business. He is persuaded that Bitcoin and its underlying technology are about to bring disruptive positive changes to finance, business, and society.

Scotcoin is Scotland’s secure, online, digital currency.
http://scotcoinproject.com/

Blueprint for a Scottish National Investment Bank

Fintech Insights from Frost & Sullivan
Edinburgh is acknowledged as the UK’s second largest financial hub and a worthy challenger to London’s hegemony, according to a Frost and Sullivan article. But what about fintech?

Fintech is thinking big in Scotland. Really big. Clustered around its banks and financial companies, Scotland has world-class academic centres of excellence, which provide expertise and resources in cyber security and big data analytics.

The UK recognises it has a huge opportunity to lead innovation in the global financial services sector. Economic activity in finance and insurance contributed £1126.9 billion or 8% of Gross Value Add to its economy in 2014.

However, sheer size and global influence are not enough: Many traditional sources of profit are under threat from shrinking margins and from new digital entrants with lower overheads. Core activities in retail banking and insurance are being transformed by mobile payments, online-only banks and crowd-sourced investment and credit.

To turn these threats into advantages, the sector is working to boost its capacity to absorb new technologies. Scotland is opening up to collaboration with external innovators as never before.

For more information on Fintech click here

Yes In My Back Yard
How To End The Housing Crisis, Boost The Economy And Win More Votes by John Myers (pdf)

Choose Your Poison:
The SNP’s Currency Headache (April 2019) (pdf)

Currencies and Banking
By Ronnie Morrison (April 2021) (pdf)

The Fantasy Economics behind the case for Scottish independence
By David Blake in Briefings for Britain (April 10th 2021)
Last week Professor Blake summarised the economic cost to Scotland of becoming independent. In this article he lays out the case against independence in more detail including the serious difficulties Scotland will face in attempting to rejoin the EU.

Fiscal Sustainability Report - March 2023
This is our first report on the long-term fiscal sustainability of the Scottish Government’s budget. (pdf)


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